Keeping Your Eyes on The House

“If liberty and equality, as is thought by some, are chiefly to be found in democracy, they will be best attained when all persons alike share in the government to the utmost”
Aristotle

The U.S. House of Representatives

As per the Constitution, the U.S. House of Representatives makes and passes federal laws. The House is one of Congress’s two chambers (the other is the U.S. Senate), and part of the federal government’s legislative branch. The number of voting representatives in the House is fixed by law at no more than 435, proportionally representing the population of the 50 states.

Following the 2018 general elections, the Democratic Party gained a majority in the U.S. House. The Democratic Party, at the time, needed to pick up 23 seats in November 2018 to win the chamber. They gained a net total of 40 seats.

Republicans have been plotting to wrest back some of those seats, especially among the 30 Trump districts that Democrats now hold. The Republicans would need more than 30 seats to take back the majority.

The House of Representatives presently has 232 Democrats, 198 Republicans, 1 Libertarian, and 4 vacancies. Nobody knows how an election largely cast by mail could shape voting patterns.

All 435 House of Representatives seats are up for election on November 3, 2020. One party would have to have 218 seats for the majority.

I’ve placed the most important races in four of the six categories used by The Cook Political Report: Toss Up Democrat, Toss Up Republican, Lean Democrat , Lean Republican.

Toss Up means these are the most competitive races, and either party has a good chance of winning. Lean means that these are considered competitive races, but one party has an advantage.

I did not include Cook’s Likely category. You can check The Cook Political Report to see what races these are. There are 17 Likely Democrat and 17 Likely Republican seats that are not considered competitive at this point, but have the potential to become engaged.

I did not include Cook’s Solid category. There are 190 Solid Democrat and 154 Solid Republican seats at this time. Again, you can check The Cook Political Report to see what races these are.

Nate Silver’s site Five Thirty Eight updates poll status throughout the day for each Congressional Race (adjust poll type), in addition to the Presidential Race itself. Should you wish, you can check this site to see how the House races are polling in the crucial campaigns below.

Please note that Five Thirty Eight uses a variety of pollsters. Its pollster “ratings” are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and the methodology of each firm’s polls. You’ll see this rating in a blue circle to the left. Many pollsters are banned due to poor accuracy and methodology.

Donate, volunteer and support the following crucial campaigns. Inform friends and family across the nation so they can do the same. Spread the word. In addition, volunteer and support your own House Democrat Representative in every way you can.

It’s expected that the outcome of the presidential contest will most likely be decided in eight swing states; Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Consequently, the Congressional races in these states more important than ever.

I’ve added a plus sign (+) to denote the Democrat who is running in a swing state.

An asterisk (*) reflects Washington Post’s The House Seats Most Likely To Flip in November

Democratic Toss Up – These 11 Democrats can lose to a Republican

Support California 21st District Democrat U.S. Rep. T.J. Cox in a fight to flip his district by Republican House Candidate Valadao.

+Support Florida 26 District Democrat U.S. Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in a fight to flip her district by Republican House Candidate Gimenez.

*Support Iowa 1st District Democrat U.S. Rep. Abby Finkenauer in a fight to flip her district by Republican House Candidate Hinson.

Support Iowa 2nd District Democrat Candidate Rita Hart as she’s trying to defeat Republican House Candidate Miller-Meaks.

+Support Minnesota 7th District Democrat U.S. Rep Collin Peterson in a fight to flip his district by Republican House Candidate Fischbach and Legal Marijuana Now Party Candidate Johnson.

*Support New Mexico 2nd House District Democrat U.S. Rep. Xochitl Torres Small in a fight to flip her district by Republican Candidate Herrell.

Support New York 11th District Democrat U.S. Max Rose in a fight to flip his district by Republican Candidate Malliotakis.

*Support New York 22nd District Democrat U.S. Rep. Anthony Brindisi in a fight to flip his district by Republican Candidate Tenny.

*Support Oklahoma 5th House District Democrat U.S. Rep Kendra Horn in a fight to flip her district by Republican Candidate Bice.

Support Utah 4th District Democrat U.S. Rep Ben McAdams in a fight to flip his district by Republican Candidate Owens, United Utah Candidate Broderick, and Liberal Party Candidate Molnar.

Support Virginia 2nd District Democrat U.S. Rep Elaine Luria in a fight to flip her district by Republican Candidate Taylor.

Republican Toss Up – These 14 Democrats can defeat these Republicans.

+Support Arizona 6th District Democrat House Candidate Hiral Tipirneni as she’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Schweikert and Independent Party Candidate Lewellen.

Support California 25 District Democrat House Candidate Christy Smith as she’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Garcia.

Support Indiana 5th District Democrat House Candidate Christina Hale as she’s fighting to defeat Republican Candidate Spartz, Liberal Party Candidate Tucker and Independent Party Candidate Kizik.

Support Missouri 2nd District Democrat House Candidate Jill Schupp as she’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Wagner, Liberal Party Candidate Schulte, and Independent Party Candidate Bufe.

Support Nebraska District 2 Democrat House Candidate Kara Eastman as she’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Bacon and Liberal Party Candidate Schaeffer.

Support New Jersey District 2 Democrat House Candidate Amy Kennedy as she’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Van Drew.

Support New York District 2 Democrat House Candidate Jackie Gordon as she’s fighting to defeat Republican Candidate Garbarino, Green Party Candidate Burger, and Independent Party Candidates Ross and MacRuari. – (A MUST PICK by my family)

Support New York District 24 Democrat House Candidate Dana Balter as she’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Katko.

Support Ohio District 1 Democrat House Candidate Kate Schroder as she’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Chabot.

+Support Pennsylvania District 10 Democrat House Candidate Eugene DePasquale as he’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Perry.

Support Texas District 21 Democrat House Candidate Wendy Davis as she’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Roy, Liberal Party Candidate DiBianca, and Green Party Candidate Wakely.

Support Texas 22th District Democrat House Candidate Sri Preston Kulkarni as he’s fighting to defeat Republican Candidate Nehls.

*Support Texas 24th District Democrat House Candidate Candace Valenzuela as she’s fighting to defeat Republican Candidate Van Duyne.

Support Virginia 5th District Democrat House Candidate Dr. Cameron Webb as he’s fighting to defeat Republican U.S. Rep Perry.

Lean Democratic – Competitive but 18 Democrats have a slight advantage.

+Support Arizona 1st District Democrat U.S. Rep. O’Halleran

Support California 48th District Democrat U.S. Rep Rouda

+Support Georgia 6th District U.S. Rep McBath

+*Support Georgia 7th District Democrat House Candidate Carolyn Bourdeaux

Support Iowa 3rd District Democrat U.S. Rep.Cindy Axne

+Support Michigan 8th District U.S. Rep Slotkin

+Support Michigan 11th District U.S. Rep Stevens

+Support Minnesota’s 2nd District U.S. Rep Craig