Inform

Democrats, who have been sidelined as the House minority party since 2010, need to flip 24 Republican seats while keeping the 194 seats they currently hold. How can we help from afar? Donate. Here is to whom.

My friends and family reside in the states of Arizona, California, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Kansas, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Nevada, New Mexico, New York, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania,South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia,  Washington and Germany.  In turn, you each have your own extensive network. 

Respond

This post profiles over fifty Democratic candidates who are trying to flip a Republican District. I’ve provided a link to each candidate’s website where you can gather information about his or her priorities, values, and beliefs.

Volunteer if a Democratic candidate  is local, or within driving distance. This can take the form of phone banking (can be done at home), canvasing, fundraising, and/or attending public events, rallies, debates, and organizing. The midterm election results are in your hands.

Another option is to donate. To all. To a few. No amount is too small. Find the blank section of the donation section and add your own amount.

Forward this list to friends and family across the nation.  Don’t exclude citizens over 60 who accounted for 39.4 percent of all voters- the largest single voting bloc in the last midterm election.  Second were people between 45 and 59, who made up 30.3 percent of voters. Offer to support an online donation on anyone’s behalf who is technology shy. They can send you a check

If your state has yet to have a Primary, volunteer for the candidate that best reflects your beliefs, and get that person elected.

The list below was created from the DCCC Target List, the Cook Political Report Competitive Races list, and New York Times The Upshot. I coded each Republican Seat with ratings from these three.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) is the Democratic Hill committee for the United States House of Representatives, working to elect Democrats to that body. The DCCC recruit candidates, raise funds, and organize races in districts that are expected to yield politically notable or close elections. I’ve noted if the race is on their Target List 

The Upshot, is a New York Times data driven venture, focusing on politics, policy and economic analysis.  Back in June, it used various variables to describe vulnerable Republic districts; 8 Types of GOP Districts To Watch  This included the following groups:  Well Educated Sunbelt,  Diverse Sun Belt, Suburban Stragglers, Suburban Survivors, White Working Class, Weaker Than They Should Be, Gerrymander Breakdown, and Perhaps Still Vulnerable.

All 435 House Seats are up for re-election.  I’ve used two political reports to analyze how the races are progressing. Cook Political Report  publishes the  2018 House Race Ratings. (updated Nov 5). The races not listed below are presently considered Solidly Republican or Solidly Democrat. The election results concurred.

 The first symbol is their rating.The second symbol, ~, indicates the race is on the DCCTarget List Nat Silver’s Five Thirty Eight (updated Nov. 6) uses statistical analysis to forecast election results. Their score will be the third and last symbol.

House Focus Group I

These are the Democratic candidates who can use your time and/or financial support.

Arizona
+, ++  O’Halleran, Ariz. 1 Election Results: Democrat (54 vs 46)
Support Democrat Tom O’Halleran

+, ~, SD  Open Ariz. 2  Election Results: Democrat (54 vs 46)
Support Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick

##, ~ , ## David Schweikert, Ariz. 6 Election Results: Republican (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat Anita Malik

Arkansas
## , ~, ## French Hill, Ark. 2 Election Results: Republican (52 vs 46)
Support Democrat Clarke Tucker

California
##, ~, ## Tom McClintock, Calif. 4 Election Results: Republican (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat  Jessica Morse 

++ , SD Ami Bera, Calif. 7 Election Results: Democrat (54 vs 46)
Support Democrat Ami Bera

*, ~, ++ Jeff  Denham, Calif. 10 Election Results: Democrat (51 vs 49)
Support Democrat Josh Harder

##, ~ , ## David Valadao, Calif. 21 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 49)
Support Democrat TJ Cox

*, ~, + Steve Knight, Calif. 25 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 48)
Support Democrat Katie Hill

*, ~ , * Open,  Calif. 39 Election Results: To be determined
Support Democrat Gil Cisneros

*, ~ , + Mimi Walters, Calif. 45 Election Results: To be determined
Support Democrat Katie Porter

*, ~, * Dana Rohrabacher, Calif. 48 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 48)
Support Democrat Harley Rouda

++, ~, SD Open , Calif. 49} Election Results: Democrat (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat Mike Levin

#, ~, ## Hunter, Calif. 50 Election Results: Republican (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar 

Colorado
##, ~, # #Scott Tipton, Colo. 3 Election Results: Republican (52 vs 43)
Support Democrat Diane Mitsch Bush

+, ~, ++  Mike Coffman, Colo. 6 Election Results: Democrat (54 vs 43)
Support Democrat Jason Crow

Florida

++, ++ Murphy Fla.7 Election Results: Democrat (58 vs 42)
Support Democrat Stephanie Murphy

#, ~ , ## Brian Mast, Fla. 18 Election Results: Republican (54 vs 46)
Support Democrat Lauren Baer

#, ~, # Mario Diaz-Balart, Fla. 25 Election Results: Republican (61 vs 40)
Support Democrat Mary Barzee Flores

*, ~ , * Carlos Curbelo, Fla. 26 Election Results: Democrat (51 vs 49)
Support Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

+, ~, ++ Open, Fla. 27 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 46)
Support Democrat Donna Shalala

Georgia
#, ~, * Karen Handel, Ga. 6 Election Results: Democrat (51 vs 50)
Support Democrat Lucy McBath

Illinois
+, ~ , * Peter Roskam, Ill. 6 Election Results: Democrat (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Sean Casten

#,  # Mike Bost, Ill. 12 Election Results: Republican (52 vs 45)
Support Democrat Brendan Kelly

#, ~, # Rodney Davis, Ill. 13 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 50)
Support Democrat Betsy Dirksen Londriga

*, ~ , + Randy Hultgren, Ill. 14 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 48)
Support Democrat Lauren Underwood

Indiana

##, ~, SR Jackie Walorski, Ind. 2 Election Results: Republican (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat Mel Hall 

Iowa
+, ~, SD Rod Blum, Iowa 1 Election Results: Democrat (51 vs 46)
Support Democrat Abby Finkenauer

*, ~ , + David Young, Iowa 3 Election Results: Democrat (49 vs 48)
Support Democrat Cindy Axne

Kansas
*, ~, + Open, Kan. 2 Election Results: Republican (48 vs 46)
Support Democrat Paul Davis

+, ~, ++ Kevin Yoder, Kan. 3 Election Results: Democrat (53 vs 44)
Support Democrat Sharice Davids

Kentucky
*, ~ , * Andy Barr, Ky. 6 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 48)
Support Democrat Amy McGrath

Maine
*, ~ , + Bruce Poliquin, Me. 2 Election Results: Democrat (50.53 vs 49.47)
Support Democrat Jared Golden

Michigan
##, ~, ##  Jack Bergman, Mich 1 Election Results: Republican (56 vs 44)
Support Democrat Matthew Morgan 

##, ~ , *  Tim Walberg, Mich. 7 Election Results: Republican (54 vs 46)
Support Democrat Gretchen Driskell

*, ~ , + Mike Bishop, Mich. 8 Election Results: Democrat (51 vs 47)
Support Democrat Elissa Slotkin

+,  ~, ++ Open, Mich. 11 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 45)
Support Democrat Haley Stevens

Minnesota
*, * Open, Minn. 1 Election Results: Republican (50.2 vs 49.8)
Support Democrat Dan Feehan

+, ~, ++ Jason Lewis, Minn. 2 Election Results: Democrat (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Angie Craig

+, ~ , ++ Erik Paulsen, Minn. 3 Election Results: Democrat (56 vs 44)
Support Democrat Dean Phillips

++, ++ Peterson, Minn.7 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 48)
Support Democrat Collin Peterson

#, ##  Open, Minn. 8 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 45)
Support Democrat Joe Radinovich

Nebraska
#, ~, *  Don Bacon, Neb. 2 Election Results: Republican (52 vs 48)
Support Democrat Kara Eastman

Nevada
+, ++  Danny Tarkanian, Nev 3 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 43)
Support Democrat Susie Lee

+, ++ Open, Nev 4 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 44)
Support Democrat Stephen Horsford

New Hampshire

++, ++  Open , NH 1 Election Results: Democrat (54 vs 45)
Support Democrat Chris Pappas

New Jersey

++, ~,  SD  Open, N.J. 2 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 46)
Support Democrat Jeff Van Drew

*, ~, * Tom MacArthur, N.J. 3 Election Results: Democrat (50 vs 49)
Support Democrat Andy Kim

++,  SD  Gottheimer, N.J. 5 Election Results: Democrat (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat Josh Gottheimer

*, ~, ++ Leonard Lance, N.J. 7 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 47)
Support Democrat Tom Malinowski.  An exceptional candidate representing my family, friends, and colleagues.

+, ~ , ++ Rodney Frelinghuysen, N.J. 11 Election Results: Democrat (56 vs 43)
Support Democrat Mikie Sherrill

New Mexico
* , * Open, N.M 2 Election Results: Democrat (51 vs 49)
Support Democrat Xochitl Torres Small

New York
##, ~, ##  Lee Zeldin, N.Y. 1 Election Results: Republican (53 vs 46)
Support Democrat Perry Gershon

##, ~, #  Peter King, N.Y. 2 Election Results: Republican (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Liuba Grechen Shirley  An exceptional candidate representing my family and friends of Long Island. My sister Loretta is a campaign volunteer.

#, ~, ## Dan Donovan, N.Y. 11 Election Results: Democrat (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Max Rose

*, ~ , + John Faso, N.Y. 19 Election Results: Democrat (50 vs 47)
Support Democrat Antonio Delgado

*, ~, *  Claudia Tenney, N.Y. 22 Election Results: To be determined
Support Democrat Anthony Brindisi

#, ~, ## John Katko, N.Y. 24 Election Results: Republican (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Dana Balter

#, ~ , # # Chris Collins, N.Y. 27 Election Results: To be determined
Support Democrat Nate McMurray 

North Carolina

##, ~ , ##  Richard Hudson, N.C. 8 Election Results: Republican (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat Frank McNeill

*, ~, *  Open, N.C. 9 Election Results: Republican (49.9 vs 48.8)
Support Democrat Dan McCready

*, ~, #  Ted Budd, N.C. 13 Election Results: Republican (52 vs 46)
Support Democrat Kathy Manning

Ohio
#, ~ , ## Steve Chabot, Ohio 1Election Results: Republican (52 vs 46)
Support Democrat Aftab Pureval

## , ~ , ## Michael Turner, Ohio 10 Election Results: Republican (56 vs 42)
Support Democrat Theresa Gasper

*, ~, #  Vacant, Ohio 12 Election Results: Republican (52 vs 47)
Support Democrat Danny O’Connor

Pennsylvania

*, *  Brian Fitzpatrick, Pa. 1 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 49)
Support Democrat Scott Wallace

++,  SD Vacant, Pa. 5 Election Results: Democrat (65 vs 35)
Support Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon

++, ~, SD  Open Pa. 6 Election Results: Democrat (59 vs 41)
Support Democrat Chrissy Houlaham

+, ~, SD Vacant, Pa. 7 Election Results: Democrat (53 vs 44)
Support Democrat Susan Wild

++, ~, SD  Incumbent Cartwright , Pa. 8 Election Results: Democrat (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat Matt Cartwright

##, ~, SR  Open, Pa 14 Election Results: Republican (58 vs 42)
Support Democrat Bibiana Boerio

#, ~,  ## Mike Kelly, Pa. 16 Election Results: Republican (52 vs 47)
Support Democrat Ronald Di Nicola

++, SD Keith Rothfus, Pa 17 Election Results: Democrat (56 vs 44)
Support Democrat Conor Lamb

Texas

*, ~, *  John Culberson, Tex. 7 Election Results: Democrat (53 vs 48)
Support Democrat Lizzy Pannill Fletcher

##, ~, ##  Open, Tex. 21 Election Results: Republican (50 vs 48)
Support Democrat Joseph Kopser

#, ~, ## Will Hurd, Tex. 23 Election Results: To be determined
Support Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones

*, ~ , # Pete Sessions, Tex. 32 Election Results: Democrat (52 vs 46)
Support Democrat Collin Allred

Utah
*, ~ , + Mia Love, Utah 4 Election Results: To be determined
Support Democrat Ben McAdams

Virginia
*, ~, #  Scott Taylor, Va. 2 Election Results: Democrat (51 vs 49)
Support Democrat Elaine Luria

#, ~, *  Open, Va. 5 Election Results: Republican (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Leslie Cockburn

* , * Dave Brat, Va. 7 Election Results: Democrat (50 vs 49)
Support Democrat Abigail Spanberger

+, ~ , ++  Barbara Comstock, Va. 10 Election Results: Democrat (56 vs 44)
Support Democrat Jennifer Wexton

Washington
#, ~,  #  Jaime Herrera Beutler, Wash. 3 Election Results: Republican (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Carolyn Long

#, ~,  ## Cathy McMorris Rodgers, Wash. 5 Election Results: Republican (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat Lisa Brown

+, ~ , + Open, Wash. 8 Election Results: Democrat (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Kim Schrier

Wisconsin

##, ~, SR  Glenn Grothman, Wis. 6 Election Results: Republican (56 vs 45)
Support Democrat Dan Kohl

Key

 Cook’s 2018 House Race Ratings (Updated Oct 30) and Nat Silvers Five Thirty Eight House Forecast (Updated Nov 1)

SD Solidly Democrat
++ Likely Democrat
+ Leans Democrat
* Toss Up
# Leans Republican
## Likely Republican
SR Solidly Republican

~ On DCC Target List

House Focus Group II

The next three groups of Republican Districts  are among the likeliest to come into play if there is a surge in Democratic voting. Be part of that wave. Volunteer if these are your local candidates. Donate. These districts are more challenging and hard to predict. It’s important to note that there is still a chance that Democrats can win.

Alaska

#, #  Don Young, Alaska (Lone Seat) Election Results: Republican (54 vs 46)
Support Democrat Alyse Galvin

Florida

#, # Open , Fla. 6 Election Results: Republican (56 vs 44)
Support Democrat Nancy Soderberg

*, * Open, Fla. 15 Election Results: Republican (53 vs 47)
Support Democrat Kristen Carlson

#, ## Vern Buchanan, Fla 16 Election Results: Republican (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat David Shapiro

Georgia
#, ## Rob Woodall, Ga. 7 Election Results: To Be Determined
Support Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux

Iowa
#, ##  King, Ia 4 Election Results: Republican (50 vs 47)
Support Democrat JD Scholten

Michigan

#, ## Fred Upton, Mi 6 Election Results: Republican (50 vs 46)
Support Democrat Matt Longjohn

Missouri
#, ## Ann Wagner, Mo 2 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 47)
Support Democrat Cort VanOstran

Montana
#, ## Greg Gianforte, Mont. 1 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 46)
Support Democrat Kathleen Williams

North Carolina
#, ##  George Holding, N.C. 2 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 46)
Support Democrat Linda Coleman

Ohio

##, ##  David Joyce, Ohio 14 Election Results: Republican (55 vs 45)
Support Democrat Betsy Radar

Pennsylvania
#, # Perry, Pa10 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 49)
Support Democrat George Scott

South Carolina
# , ## Open, S.C. 1 Election Results: Democrat (51 vs 49)
Support Democrat Joe Cunningham

 Texas

##, ## Open, Tex 2 Election Results: Republican (53 vs 46)
Support Democrat Todd Litton

#, ## Pete Olsen, Tex 22 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 46)
Support Democrat Sri Preston Kulkarni

##, SR  Marchant, Tex 24 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 48)
Support Democrat Jan McDowell

## , ## John Carter, Tex. 31 Election Results: Republican (51 vs 48)
Support DemocratM.J. Heger

West Virginia
#, ## Open, W.Va 3 Election Results: Republican (56 vs 44)
Support Democrat Richard Ojeda

Wisconsin
#, ## Open, Wis. 1 Election Results: Republican (55 vs 42)
Support Democrat Randy Bryce

Key

 Cook’s 2018 House Race Ratings (Updated Nov 5) and Nat Silvers Five Thirty Eight House Forecast (Updated Nov 6)

SD Solidly Democrat
++ Likely Democrat
+ Leans Democrat
* Toss Up
# Leans Republican
## Likely Republican
SR Solidly Republican

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) recently updated their focus to include the Solidly Democrat Congressional District races of Arizona 9, Colorado 2, Hawaii 1, Illinois 4, Maine 3, Maryland 6, Michigan 9 and 13, Minnesota 5, New Mexico 1, New York 25,  Pennsylvania 4 and Texas 16 and 29.  It will also focus on the Solidly Republican Congressional District races of Alabama 2 and  5, California 1 and 22, Florida 12, Indiana 9,  Maryland 1, Michigan 1, New Jersey 4, New York 21 and 23, Ohio 2, 7 and 15, Pennsylvania 9, 11 and 15,  West Virginia 2, and Wisconsin 7.

Reflect

“Each time a man stands up for an ideal, or acts to improve the lot of others, or strikes out against injustice, he sends forth a tiny ripple of hope, and crossing each other from a million different centers of energy and daring, those ripples build a current that can sweep down the mightiest walls of oppression and resistance.”
Robert F. Kennedy

Next Post: The Battle For The The Senate